What is this site going to be?
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Sun, 03/09/2008 - 19:15
Obviously we're just getting started here at s-rod.com; apologies for some of the incomplete/placeholder articles. The Player Ranker is also undergoing some fine-tuning, so don't be discouraged if your pet player is getting dissed.
Rickie Weeks Gone for the Season
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Mon, 05/18/2009 - 22:50bad tendon sheath again, this time in his left wrist. too much waggling i'd say.
Holliday losing more than just Coors?
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Wed, 04/01/2009 - 17:33in Buster Olney's column today:
From an AL evaluator:
"No. 1, I thought Matt Holliday looked trimmer, not as physically strong. I don't like to pass judgment on guys during spring training, but he only had two extra base hits as of a couple days ago.
Cole Hamels: Sore 'Bow
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Mon, 03/16/2009 - 13:37Woe is the owner counting on him and Johan Santana.
Bryce Harper: Get him on your Draft Board NOW!
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Fri, 03/13/2009 - 14:52He'll be in the 2011 draft, but don't wait that long to add him to your fantasy roster.
And here's an article detailing the kid that may be the greatest high school prospect of all-time.
What's Bugs Bunny's Ceiling?
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Thu, 03/05/2009 - 16:48Get Your Yu On
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Wed, 03/04/2009 - 21:52Looking forward to seeing what he's got for '10 purposes.
Look Out
Submitted by Jon from Manhattan on Fri, 02/27/2009 - 01:05Hamilton went deep for the second straight day.
I hope you remembered to trade for him.
Counting on Johan to be your ace? Think Again.
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Thu, 02/26/2009 - 17:47Advice: look for someone steadier, in the Lester/Greinke/Cain/Verlander mold.
Baseball Prospectus Goes All Ugueto Effect on Us
Submitted by Rogers Reilly on Tue, 02/24/2009 - 18:00(note: this is a pay link- I'm just tagging it "Andrew Miller" because the rest of the breakout pitchers aren't revealed by the teaser.)
I don't care so much about their analysis--I don't believe much in using stats to pick breakout pitchers, beyond the basics--but listen to this paragraph:
"The primary difficulty is that the up-and-down nature of most pitching careers means that pitchers of any age might post high Breakout Rates, particularly when their recent performance includes injury-related ineffectiveness. Among the small handful of pitchers with at least a 30 percent rate are veterans Randy Johnson, A.J. Burnett, Jeremy Bonderman and Ervin Santana, and that's after weeding out the small workloads (either due to injury-related attrition or to relief roles) and Ugueto Effect equivalents. Even after eliminating the noise, the Breakout Rates among our meaningful set of hurlers wind up being about half those shown by the hitters."
You gotta love dropping "Ugueto Effect" without explanation.
Recent Projections
| Player | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | Contributor |
Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Pedroia | 605 | 118 | 21 | 102 | 28 | 0.331 | Rogers Reilly | Mar 25 |
| Alex Rios | 610 | 104 | 28 | 89 | 31 | 0.303 | Rogers Reilly | Mar 5 |
| Alex Rodriguez | 608 | 123 | 56 | 141 | 32 | 0.322 | Rogers Reilly | Feb 9 |
| Jason Giambi | 372 | 48 | 13 | 54 | 0 | 0.244 | Debbie Downer | Jan 8 |
| Travis Hafner | 498 | 89 | 34 | 115 | 1 | 0.305 | Rogers Reilly | Dec 19 |
| Player | IP | W | S | ERA | WHIP | K | Contributor |
Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cain | 210 | 13 | 0 | 3.42 | 1.18 | 202 | Rogers Reilly | Mar 5 |
| C.C. Sabathia | 230 | 19 | 0 | 3.48 | 1.21 | 214 | Rogers Reilly | Jan 16 |
| A.J. Burnett | 170 | 14 | 0 | 3.91 | 1.28 | 167 | Rogers Reilly | Jan 6 |
| Kerry Wood | 73 | 5 | 36 | 3.22 | 1.18 | 90 | Rogers Reilly | Dec 12 |
| Carlos Marmol | 91 | 3 | 43 | 1.93 | 0.88 | 112 | Rogers Reilly | Dec 12 |
Count me a skeptic, in the range of fantasy prognostications. I just don't see his slowball (at 3:43 in the clip) holding up a second and third time through the league ... the advance scouts will have people sitting on it.